Wednesday, August 29, 2007

Battling emotions - conquering the investment world

We have this active yahoogroups moderated by Efren Ll. Cruz, RFP. He regularly shares with us articles he finds, facts, and other financial advices.

Recently, he shared this article by Jason Zweig. I think this would be timely.

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8 ways to tame your brain

The investing world is full of traps and our brains are wired to lead us into them.

By Jason Zweig, Money Magazine senior writer/columnist
August 23 2007: 4:05 PM EDT


(Money Magazine) -- Most investors think too much and end up making the wrong moves. Follow these 8 guidelines and make the right ones.

Avoid the "sure thing"

Your "seeking system" is especially turned on by the prospect of a big score, and that in turn will hinder your ability to calculate realistic odds for the success of an investment.
Be on your guard against any sales rep who tries to lure you with jackpot jargon like "can't miss," "double your money" or "the sky's the limit."

Remember: lightning seldom strikes twice

If you've ever had the taste of a big gain, you'll likely be tempted to try to get that feeling back. So be especially wary of investing in stocks or mutual funds that remind you of the one you made a killing on long ago; chances are, any similarities to another investment, living or dead, are purely coincidental.

Think twice

Making a financial decision while you're inflamed by the prospects of a big gain - or a huge paper loss - is a terrible idea.
Calm yourself down (if you don't have kids to distract you, take a walk around the block or go to the gym) and reconsider when the heat of the moment has passed.

Get away from the herd

If you are part of an investment organization, appoint an internal sniper whose job is to shoot down ideas everyone likes. (Rotate this role to prevent one person from becoming universally disliked.)
Similarly, if you're at a barbecue and your friends are talking up a seemingly great opportunity, speak to someone you respect who isn't part of the group before you jump in.

Lock up your "mad money"

Put at least 90% of your stock money into a low-cost, diversified index fund that owns everything in the market. Put 10%, tops, at risk on speculative trades. Be sure this "mad money" resides in a separate account from your long-term investments; never mingle them. Never add more money to the speculative account. (It's especially important to resist that temptation when your trades have been doing well.)
If you get wiped out, close out the account.

Control your cues

The stock market generates signals that can goad you into trading. Try watching CNBC with the sound off so that none of the hullabaloo about what the market is doing this second can distract you.
If you walk past the local brokerage firm every day so you can sneak a peek at the electronic ticker, take a different route. If you obsessively check a stock's price, use the "history" window on your browser to count how many times you've updated the price that day. The number may shock you.

Use your words

While vivid sights and sounds - say, red down arrows and scenes of mayhem on the exchange floor - fire up your emotions, the more complex cues of language activate analytical areas of your brain.
To prevent your feelings from overwhelming the facts and leading you to sell in a panic, ask yourself:
- Other than price, what's changed?
- Are my original reasons to invest still valid?
- Shouldn't I like this investment even more now that it's cheaper?

Track your feelings

Many of the world's best investors have learned to treat their own feelings as reverse indicators: Excitement becomes a cue that it's time to consider selling; fear tells them they should be thinking about buying.
I once asked renowned fund manager Brian Posner of Fidelity and Legg Mason how he sensed whether a stock would be a moneymaker. "If it makes me feel like I want to throw up," he answered, "I can be pretty sure it's a great investment."

Sunday, August 19, 2007

My Mutual Fund - First Metro Save and Learn Balanced Fund

July 20, 2007.

I bought some shares of First Metro's Balanced Fund. At that time, the NAV was pegged at 0.9995 per share. However, First Metro doesn't sell below Php1.00 per share so I bought at 1 peso.

Php40,000.00 less 2% (sales load) got me 39,200 shares.

Market is really really shaky because of the subprime lending scare. So now, I have losses in both of my FAMI accounts. As of last Friday, my balanced fund has a NAVPS of 0.881.

Now let me see. My shares worth has shrunk to Php34535.20. The current market situation ate a huge 13.662% of my initial investment. Yikes!

I must admit, I am a bit worried, but during trying times, common sense is my best friend.

I told myself, "Stick to your plan, stick to your shares, your journey is just about to begin."

Yeah I'd like to think of this as the first speed bump in my journey into the world of investing.

Wednesday, August 15, 2007

Off Topic: Visited Countries

Wow! I actually have gone to 19 countries. Cool. :-)




Red means I've been there. Map was generated by www.world66.com.

Tuesday, August 14, 2007

Subprime Lending Jitters

Wiki-what: Subprime lending.

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So my question is:

What will I do with my extra cash? Should I look for bargains or wait till the market stabilizes?

Suggestions? Anyone?

Friday, August 10, 2007

Philippines' 40 Richest

This is old news. Forbes listed this December last year. I'll post this anyway. If only they could mentor me. Hmm....

Drumroll please....

1. Henry Sy
$4 billion
82. Married. 6 children.

2. Lucio Tan
$2.3 billion
72. Married. 6 children.

3. Jaime Augusto Zobel de Ayala
$2 billion
72. Married. 7 children.

4. Eduardo Cojuangco
$840 million
71. Married. 4 children.

5. George Ty
$830 million
74. Married. 5 children.

6. John Gokongwei Jr.
$700 million
80. Married. 6 children.

7. Tony Tan Caktiong
$575 million
53. Married. 3 children.

8. Andrew Tan
$480 million
57. Married. 4 children.

9. Emilio Yap
$350 million
81. Married.

10. Oscar Lopez
$315 million
76.


11. Enrique Razon Jr.
$285 million
46. Married. 2 children.

12. Andrew Gotianun
$280 million
78. Married. 4 children.

13. Enrique Aboitiz
$275 million
84. Married. 7 children.

14. Alfonso Yuchengco
$225 million
83.

15. Menardo Jimenez
$210 million
74.

15. Gilberto Duavit Jr.
$210 million

17. Ramon del Rosario Jr.
$205 million
62. Married. 4 children.

18. Felipe Gozon
$180 million

19. Beatrice Campos
$160 million
Widowed. 5 children.

20. Luis J.L. Virata
$150 million

21. David M. Consunji
$145 million
85. Married. 8 children.

21. Bienvenido R. Tantoco Sr.
$140 million

23. Betty Ang
$115 million

24. Manuel Villar
$110 million
57.

25. Mariano Tan
$100 million

26. Rolando & Rosalinda Hortaleza
$90 million

27. Oscar Hilado
$85 million
69. Married. 3 children.

28. Vivian Que Azcona
$80 million

29. Manuel Zamora
$75 million
66.

30. Magdaleno Albarracin Jr.
$73 million
70. Married. 1 child.

31. Jesus Tambunting
$70 million
69. Married. 4 children.

32. Frederick Dy
$65 million
51. Married. 3 children.

33. Tomas Alcantara
$60 million
60. Single.

34. Lourdes Montinola
$50 million
78.

35. Salvador Zamora
$45 million
59.

36. Antonio Roxas
$40 million
64.

37. Wilfred Steven Uytengsu Sr.
$38 million

79. Married. 3 children.

38. Philip T. Ang
$35 million

39. Marixi Prieto
$30 million
66. Married. 5 children.

40. Manuel Pangilinan
$25 million
60. Single.

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See the comprehensive list here.

Monday, August 6, 2007

Stocks Slides Down, and so?

'Stocks continue to slide" <--- www.inquirer.net Business section headline

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And so are my mutual funds. What do I do?

An investor overcome by emotion loses. I have incurred paper losses, yes, but common sense, of course, tells me not to sell.

Why? Because, if I do, I would convert my paper losses into real monetary losses. Yikes!

Generally, I was not affected by the stock market scare last week. I am not a trader but a long term investor. So as long as I have decent returns when it's ripe for me to redeem my shares then I will be fine.

Yep. Optimism really helps. :-)